Equity market volatility have increased in 2Q19 with a rebound in June 2019 offsetting the sharp correction in May 2019. The recovery is mainly driven by easing escalation between US & China and expectation on pro-growth policies from Fed, China and ECB.......

Our base case is the external headwinds (i.e. oil price, USD, UST yield, concern on Emerging Market, trade tension, etc) to ease/moderate going into 2019. Hence, this should bode well for Emerging Market, including Indonesia, amid slower global growth and less accommodative monetary policy. Meanwhile, domestic growth continues to be…

The psyche of late cycle trading will be appropriate for handling USD rates in 2019. The Fed has been embarking on policy normalisation over the past five years and rate hikes will probably conclude sometime this year. To recap, since early 2015, the Fed’s balance sheet has shrunk by close…